A DCF splits the future in two. The explicit period projects free cash flow year by year (here, growing at your chosen rate) and discounts each year back to today. The terminal value captures everything after that, assuming the business settles into a steady long-run growth rate forever.
Where FCFₜ is free cash flow in year t, d is the discount rate (WACC), g is the terminal growth rate, and N is the last projection year. Enterprise value is the sum of all discounted cash flows plus the discounted terminal value.
For a typical 5-year model, the terminal value often accounts for 60–80% of enterprise value. That is normal — but it means your valuation is mostly a bet on the long-run growth and discount rate, not the detailed near-term forecast.
Re-run the model with the discount rate ±1% and the terminal growth ±0.5%. If intrinsic value per share swings wildly, treat the single-point answer with caution and lean on a valuation range instead.
Start with the company's current annual free cash flow and a realistic growth rate.
Choose a WACC and a long-run terminal growth rate (below the WACC).
See enterprise value, equity value, and — with shares outstanding — intrinsic value per share.
ARIA analyses your entire portfolio with institutional-grade risk management, position sizing, and optimisation — so you can value holdings and size positions in one place.
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